{"id":44212,"date":"2019-03-14T12:32:07","date_gmt":"2019-03-14T12:32:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/?p=44212"},"modified":"2019-03-14T15:35:58","modified_gmt":"2019-03-14T15:35:58","slug":"banking-crisis-and-trilateral-tussle-between-rbi-government-and-nbfcs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/?p=44212","title":{"rendered":"Banking Crisis and Trilateral tussle between RBI, Government and NBFCs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"141\" src=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/KS-300x141.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44213\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/KS-300x141.jpg 300w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/KS-768x361.jpg 768w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/KS-1024x481.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/KS.jpg 1060w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption>Kshitij Bansal and Ajinkya Salunkhe<br>Indian Institute of Foreign Trade<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The major catalyst for\nany country\u2019s economy is the banking sector. It is the major source of\nfinancial resources for capital-intensive sectors such as infrastructure,\nautomobiles, iron and steel, industrials and high-growth sectors such as\npharmaceuticals, healthcare and consumer discretionary. In emerging economies\nlike India its role grows multi-fold. Apart from acting as agents of financial\nintermediation banks also have an additional responsibility of realising the\ngovernments social reform agenda. Because of this close relationship between\nbanking and economic development, the growth of the overall economy is\nintrinsically correlated to the health of the banking industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What\nled to the Banking Crisis?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indian economy was going through a dream run in terms of growth from 2002 to 2008 which led to spiralling of credit growth in the Indian banking sector in excess of 22%. But as the financial crisis struck a slowdown in economic growth started which further resulted in <g class=\"gr_ gr_13 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Style multiReplace\" id=\"13\" data-gr-id=\"13\">lower  credit<\/g> demand as well as a receding appetite on the part of the banking industry, to extend credit. This further led to <g class=\"gr_ gr_11 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Grammar only-ins replaceWithoutSep\" id=\"11\" data-gr-id=\"11\">ballooning<\/g> of stressed assets from a mere 5.7% in FY08 to 10.2% in FY13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"308\" src=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c1-1024x308.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c1-1024x308.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c1-300x90.jpg 300w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c1-768x231.jpg 768w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c1.jpg 1545w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>At this point of time an\niceberg was created that kept on pilling up every year owing to the inefficiency\nof existing frameworks to restructure bad loans. Some of these frameworks were\nCorporate Debt Restructuring, Sustainable Structuring of Stressed Assets or\nS4A, Strategic Debt Restructuring, and Flexible Structuring of Existing Long-Term\nProject Loans. A need was felt by the RBI for having proper bankruptcy laws\nsince most of the wilful defaulters were able to find loopholes in the existing\nschemes which further aggravated the situation for the banks to recover loans. In\norder to resolve this government first initiated a Banks Board Bureau (BBB)\nunder the leadership of former CAG, Vinod Rai and then brought into effect\nInsolvency Bankruptcy Code (IBC) in 2016 which further led to scrapping schemes\nlike CDR, SDR, S4A, JLF altogether.\nDuring this time the major industries which contributed to stressed assets were\ninfrastructure, metals and the textiles which also got reflected in some of the\nmajor companies whose large NPA accounts went for resolution to National\nCompany Law Tribunal (NCLT). Some of these companies included Lanco Infra, Bhushan\nPower &amp; Steel, Electro Steel, Essar Steel &amp; Alok Industries. When the\nthings were looking to improve considerably another setback struck the banking\nsector due to PNB fraud and a slowdown in global economy due to trade war which\nfurther dragged the NPA recognition process and also led to creation of new\nNPA\u2019s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Opinion on Banking Crisis:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>         NPA situation has definitely improved in comparison to the situation in 2016 or 2017 majorly owing to the scrapping of restructuring schemes and making accelerated recognition of a number of large stressed accounts as NPAs. Another reason for the improvement in Gross NPA ratios is the capital infusion into state-owned banks under the restructuring scheme which has further led to <g class=\"gr_ gr_12 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Grammar only-ins replaceWithoutSep\" id=\"12\" data-gr-id=\"12\"><g class=\"gr_ gr_13 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Grammar multiReplace\" id=\"13\" data-gr-id=\"13\">increase<\/g><\/g> in the credit growth. Although the situation has improved the current NPA situation has turned into a crisis which can be mitigated but cannot be eliminated. Considering the government has set a target of turning India into a $10 trillion economy by 2030 would require strong credit growth by the banks and amidst global headwinds and macro shocks this will certainly keep the iceberg floating around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"275\" src=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c2-1024x275.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44234\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c2-1024x275.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c2-300x81.jpg 300w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c2-768x206.jpg 768w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c2.jpg 1535w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Suggestions to improve the NPA situation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Technology\nand analytics can play a crucial role in upgrading the monitoring process &amp;\nin providing insights into the anomalies, risk indicators and trends.<\/li><li>Major\nreason for NPAs is lack of due diligence during the sanctioning of loan. In\norder to resolve this past history revelation by the borrower to the banks\nshould be mandatory and surprise visits by banks should be done in case of any\ndiscrepancies.<\/li><li>Skill\nsets of the credit teams need to be upgraded from time to time so that proper\ncredit evaluation takes place<\/li><li>In\norder to reduce work load on banking employees a separate team can be\ninstituted to look at the accounting records in order to detect any\nirregularities.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>RBI\nvs Government<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An independent central\nbank working in tandem with the central government with a shared objective of\neconomic growth is the backbone of any economy. An imbalance of power or\ncontrol between these institutions can be detrimental for the financial health\nof a state. A central bank has the responsibility of regulating banks, controlling\nmonetary policy, stabilizing the nation\u2019s currency, keeping the unemployment\nlow and preventing inflation among other objectives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Time and again, there\nhave been instances where the central bank and the central government have been\nin loggerheads with each other. The recent tussle between RBI\nasserting its independence and the central government seeking accountability is\none of the many such instances. Officials from both the sides indulged in\nfierce battle through official speeches, social media statements, and press\nreleases. The first sign of trouble was when RBI Deputy Governor Viral Acharya\nin his speech at IIT Bombay warned that &#8220;the risks of undermining the\ncentral bank&#8217;s independence are potentially catastrophic&#8221;. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The points of\ncontention for the disputes have majorly been the following-<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>RBI Reserves<\/strong><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>The government wanted RBI to free up\n\u20b93,60,000,00 worth of its reserves \u2014 approximately 2.1% of past year\u2019s GDP, for\ntransfer to the government. The government used section 7 (1) of the RBI Act of\n1934 which states, \u201cthe central government may from time to time give such\ndirections to the bank as it may, after consultation with the governor of the\nbank, consider necessary in the public interest\u201d. The government\u2019s argument for\nthe same was that the RBI is far too conservative in estimating its contingent\nliabilities and is building reserves in excess of requirements. This excess\nreserve can be instead used for increasing liquidity in the market by\nsupporting lending of the NBFCs and helping MSMEs. The government is of the\nopinion that RBI is throttling growth by throttling credit and liquidity in the\nmarket which is also getting reflected by a slowdown in credit availability in\nthe NBFCs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Easing of PCA (Prompt corrective\naction) measures<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The government has petitioned the RBI\nto provide some slack in Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework. The cash-\nstrapped banks have been struggling to expand their lending base because of the\nprovisioning requirements in order to keep the stressed assets in check. But since\nits implementation, solvency losses due to failure of 11 PCA banks have\ndeclined from Rs 73,500 crore to Rs 34,200 in the past 4 quarters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Diluting Basel III norms and stressed\nassets framework for Indian banks<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In February 2018, the RBI kicked off\na process for dealing swiftly with stressed assets where a new set of rules\nmandated all banks to initiate a resolution plan even if there was a\nsingle-day-delay in repayment of dues by the large corporate borrowers. This\nagain was a point of contention between the Centre and the RBI. <a href=\"https:\/\/thewire.in\/political-economy\/supreme-court-rbi-section-7-power-sector-bankruptcy-courts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Allahabad high court noted<\/a>&nbsp;that the government could examine the possibility of advising the\ncentral bank under Section 7 of the RBI act, after power companies took the\nissues to the courts. This has not been used in 83 years of RBI\u2019s history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Analysis of the financial health of NBFCs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td>\n  Ratios\n  <\/td><td>\n  2016-17\n  <\/td><td>\n  2017-18\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Net profit to total\n  income \n  <\/td><td>\n  13.4\n  <\/td><td>\n  15.6\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  RoA\n  <\/td><td>\n  1.6\n  <\/td><td>\n  1.9\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  RoE\n  <\/td><td>\n  6.9\n  <\/td><td>\n  8.4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Current liabilities\n  and provisions \n  <\/td><td>\n  26.7\n  <\/td><td>\n  15.4\n  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\n  Net profit \n  <\/td><td>\n  -14.4\n  <\/td><td>\n  30.8\n  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>As on March 2018,\nthe aggregate balance sheet size was Rs 22.1 trillion. The net profit has\nincreased to 30.8%. The RoA also increased which implies that assets are able\nto squeeze out more profits. The current liabilities and provisions have\nsignificantly gone down owing to the stricter norms by the RBI. There has been\nan overall improvement in the financial outlook of the NBFCs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Asset Quality of NBFCs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"504\" src=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c4-1024x504.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c4-1024x504.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c4-300x148.jpg 300w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c4-768x378.jpg 768w, https:\/\/thepubliceconomist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/c4.jpg 1192w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\n \n \n \nThere has been a reduction in the Gross NPAs to 3.5% which reflects the\nsuccess of the corrective measures. CRAR also increased from 22.0 per cent in\n2016-17 to 22.9 per cent in 2017-18. CRAR is the measure of capital adequacy with respect to the riskiness of\nthe assets or loans given.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thus, the quality\nof operating NBFCs have improved over the years and they have capitalized the\ndismal condition of the Banking sector which is debt laden. Also, the NBFCs\nhave reacted positively to the regulatory frameworks introduced by RBI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Opinion on the tussle between RBI &amp; Government<\/strong>\n\nThus, on the one hand the\ngovernment stand for increasing liquidity is important for the growth of the\neconomy is credible, so is the requirement of stricter norms to regulate the\nlending practices of NBFCs. The real problem is breakdown in the communication\nbetween the two institutions. It\u2019s only natural to have a divergent view on\nvarious policy matters. But, while addressing those differences, both the institutions\nmust come together and deliver outcomes through a closed room negotiation,\nrather than going public.\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The major catalyst for any country\u2019s economy is the banking sector. It is the major source of financial resources for capital-intensive sectors such as infrastructure, automobiles, iron and steel, industrials and high-growth sectors such as pharmaceuticals, healthcare and consumer discretionary.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":10214,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[141,140,49],"class_list":["post-44212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-indian-economy","tag-banking-sector-in-india","tag-nbfcs","tag-rbi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Banking Crisis and Trilateral tussle between RBI, Government and NBFCs - The Public Economist<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The major catalyst for any country\u2019s economy is the banking sector. 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